Gold after the PCE inflation
After 57 PCE releases since 24 Nov 2021, gold moved a median of $2.39 in 5 minutes and $4.42 in an hour; the first-hour swing was $8.51 at the median. Over the last 12 releases the 5-minute move has been larger: $4.37, as gold now trades far higher than in 2021. The first move held for the hour in 65% of releases. Source of the dates: Personal Income and Outlays, US Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Last 24 releases, 60 minutes after
Gold 60 minutes after the release vs the last price before it, US dollars per ounce; green - higher, orange - lower.
Every release
| Release | Data for | Gold before | 1 min | 5 min | 15 min | 60 min | High / low, 1 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 08:30 ET | 2026-08 | 4,193.31 | +11.91 | +21.40 | +21.26 | +0.14 | +26.12 / -2.38 |
| 26 Aug 2026 08:30 ET | 2026-07 | 4,631.07 | -11.58 | -7.73 | -8.55 | -20.02 | +2.36 / -33.08 |
| 30 Jul 2026 08:30 ET | 2026-06 | 4,077.24 | +2.52 | -3.54 | -0.00 | +2.87 | +9.70 / -12.31 |
| 25 Jun 2026 08:30 ET | 2026-05 | 3,983.97 | +24.33 | +11.30 | +21.46 | +38.06 | +50.05 / -0.48 |
| 28 May 2026 08:30 ET | 2026-04 | 4,385.35 | +7.61 | +7.14 | +16.49 | +43.40 | +53.78 / -1.16 |
| 30 Apr 2026 08:30 ET | 2026-03 | 4,629.74 | +2.55 | -1.97 | -4.06 | +3.79 | +16.38 / -5.12 |
| 9 Apr 2026 08:30 ET | 2026-02 | 4,737.65 | +3.58 | +4.66 | +6.04 | +15.10 | +20.87 / -2.37 |
| 13 Mar 2026 08:30 ET | 2026-01 | 5,113.43 | +1.93 | +0.88 | -1.52 | -4.49 | +8.45 / -6.21 |
| 20 Feb 2026 08:30 ET | 2025-12 | 5,028.86 | +0.89 | -5.09 | +2.29 | +12.79 | +19.87 / -10.67 |
| 22 Jan 2026 10:00 ET | 2025-10+2025-11 | 4,835.18 | -5.57 | -0.78 | +4.08 | +36.53 | +38.54 / -8.17 |
| 5 Dec 2025 10:00 ET | 2025-09 | 4,242.01 | +0.30 | -2.26 | -2.42 | +1.47 | +17.23 / -7.82 |
| 26 Sep 2025 08:30 ET | 2025-08 | 3,749.60 | +2.80 | +4.07 | +1.70 | +8.25 | +16.76 / -3.04 |
| 29 Aug 2025 08:30 ET | 2025-07 | 3,407.97 | +4.13 | +3.78 | +4.74 | +9.50 | +12.43 / --0.13 |
| 31 Jul 2025 08:30 ET | 2025-06 | 3,306.82 | +0.25 | +2.41 | +1.65 | +1.61 | +4.34 / -2.93 |
| 27 Jun 2025 08:30 ET | 2025-05 | 3,279.78 | -2.62 | -2.88 | -8.76 | -23.08 | +1.13 / -23.47 |
| 30 May 2025 08:30 ET | 2025-04 | 3,301.71 | +1.05 | -2.31 | +2.80 | -7.03 | +6.62 / -7.88 |
| 30 Apr 2025 10:00 ET | 2025-03 | 3,309.13 | -3.54 | -3.18 | -1.09 | +0.80 | +4.60 / -16.26 |
| 28 Mar 2025 08:30 ET | 2025-02 | 3,076.11 | -1.41 | +2.02 | +4.04 | +0.51 | +5.76 / -5.35 |
| 28 Feb 2025 08:30 ET | 2025-01 | 2,857.44 | +0.00 | -1.23 | -1.47 | -10.63 | +1.58 / -15.28 |
| 31 Jan 2025 08:30 ET | 2024-12 | 2,805.04 | +0.01 | +0.78 | +2.10 | +2.54 | +3.50 / -1.82 |
| 20 Dec 2024 08:30 ET | 2024-11 | 2,600.97 | +4.65 | +5.55 | +7.77 | +14.21 | +15.39 / -0.62 |
| 27 Nov 2024 10:00 ET | 2024-10 | 2,651.34 | -2.26 | -9.69 | -11.87 | -8.68 | +0.19 / -15.83 |
| 31 Oct 2024 08:30 ET | 2024-09 | 2,777.36 | -1.59 | -0.38 | -3.04 | -10.14 | +1.67 / -11.80 |
| 27 Sep 2024 08:30 ET | 2024-08 | 2,665.17 | +3.66 | +4.47 | +6.60 | +0.92 | +9.10 / -0.64 |
| 30 Aug 2024 08:30 ET | 2024-07 | 2,523.42 | -0.56 | -3.46 | -6.42 | -8.16 | +1.34 / -10.59 |
| 26 Jul 2024 08:30 ET | 2024-06 | 2,373.08 | +2.51 | +1.93 | +2.24 | +5.87 | +6.89 / -1.80 |
| 28 Jun 2024 08:30 ET | 2024-05 | 2,333.39 | +2.68 | +3.49 | +2.87 | -1.88 | +6.42 / -2.22 |
| 31 May 2024 08:30 ET | 2024-04 | 2,343.98 | +2.08 | +5.33 | +8.62 | +10.04 | +15.72 / -0.63 |
| 26 Apr 2024 08:30 ET | 2024-03 | 2,343.08 | +2.50 | +2.85 | +5.20 | -0.94 | +8.51 / -2.59 |
| 29 Feb 2024 08:30 ET | 2024-01 | 2,032.17 | +3.94 | +5.58 | +11.60 | +15.85 | +18.14 / -0.70 |
| 26 Jan 2024 08:30 ET | 2023-12 | 2,022.28 | -0.10 | -1.22 | +0.33 | -0.78 | +4.54 / -3.59 |
| 22 Dec 2023 08:30 ET | 2023-11 | 2,061.80 | -3.01 | -2.28 | +1.38 | +5.73 | +7.72 / -4.15 |
| 30 Nov 2023 08:30 ET | 2023-10 | 2,041.46 | -1.61 | -2.39 | -3.10 | -3.52 | +2.59 / -8.81 |
| 27 Oct 2023 08:30 ET | 2023-09 | 1,983.48 | -0.27 | +1.54 | +2.17 | -1.74 | +2.63 / -6.66 |
| 29 Sep 2023 08:30 ET | 2023-08 | 1,870.09 | +1.58 | -1.06 | +3.06 | +4.58 | +9.51 / -2.18 |
| 31 Aug 2023 08:30 ET | 2023-07 | 1,946.33 | -1.72 | -0.32 | -2.15 | -2.81 | +1.16 / -4.19 |
| 28 Jul 2023 08:30 ET | 2023-06 | 1,956.31 | +1.65 | +1.39 | -1.38 | -1.42 | +4.74 / -4.07 |
| 30 Jun 2023 08:30 ET | 2023-05 | 1,906.61 | +2.42 | +3.08 | +5.65 | +7.01 | +7.75 / -0.25 |
| 26 May 2023 08:30 ET | 2023-04 | 1,952.37 | -4.91 | -6.40 | -7.68 | -3.87 | +0.53 / -8.15 |
| 28 Apr 2023 08:30 ET | 2023-03 | 1,980.71 | -2.98 | +1.34 | -0.94 | +7.77 | +8.94 / -4.60 |
| 31 Mar 2023 08:30 ET | 2023-02 | 1,977.43 | +2.01 | +8.63 | +4.51 | +3.24 | +10.11 / -2.67 |
| 24 Feb 2023 08:30 ET | 2023-01 | 1,816.76 | -3.64 | -0.38 | -2.12 | -5.50 | +1.28 / -5.97 |
| 27 Jan 2023 08:30 ET | 2022-12 | 1,932.67 | -1.00 | +1.46 | +0.11 | -5.06 | +2.36 / -6.91 |
| 23 Dec 2022 08:30 ET | 2022-11 | 1,798.50 | -1.25 | -2.79 | +0.07 | -4.95 | +1.80 / -6.50 |
| 1 Dec 2022 08:30 ET | 2022-10 | 1,788.14 | -0.11 | +1.59 | +0.82 | +11.11 | +11.48 / -2.22 |
| 28 Oct 2022 08:30 ET | 2022-09 | 1,645.56 | +3.65 | +4.30 | +0.66 | -2.43 | +7.24 / -5.50 |
| 30 Sep 2022 08:30 ET | 2022-08 | 1,666.30 | -2.17 | +1.96 | +1.94 | -2.23 | +3.16 / -4.35 |
| 26 Aug 2022 08:30 ET | 2022-07 | 1,746.73 | +3.82 | +2.19 | -0.15 | +4.26 | +7.02 / -2.22 |
| 29 Jul 2022 08:30 ET | 2022-06 | 1,761.46 | -3.86 | -4.61 | -4.23 | -2.74 | +0.13 / -6.71 |
| 30 Jun 2022 08:30 ET | 2022-05 | 1,803.19 | +0.58 | +5.68 | +17.09 | +15.12 | +21.94 / -0.47 |
| 27 May 2022 08:30 ET | 2022-04 | 1,856.83 | -2.87 | -3.56 | -4.79 | +3.28 | +4.55 / -6.44 |
| 29 Apr 2022 08:30 ET | 2022-03 | 1,912.55 | +0.70 | -0.96 | -1.68 | -3.77 | +1.35 / -5.22 |
| 31 Mar 2022 08:30 ET | 2022-02 | 1,933.63 | +0.19 | +1.57 | +0.03 | +4.42 | +5.19 / -2.51 |
| 25 Feb 2022 08:30 ET | 2022-01 | 1,893.10 | +1.77 | +0.95 | -2.08 | -3.36 | +2.02 / -8.28 |
| 28 Jan 2022 08:30 ET | 2021-12 | 1,785.53 | +2.19 | +0.95 | +1.01 | -1.97 | +5.35 / -5.08 |
| 23 Dec 2021 08:30 ET | 2021-11 | 1,808.20 | +0.06 | +1.62 | -1.01 | -2.24 | +1.75 / -2.88 |
| 24 Nov 2021 10:00 ET | 2021-10 | 1,781.99 | +1.54 | +0.27 | -0.50 | +2.57 | +3.47 / -2.43 |
US dollars per ounce from the close of the last minute before the release; minute bars (bid) from one broker feed. Method
Next PCE
29 Oct 2026, 08:30 New York (12:30 UTC); 25 Nov 2026, 08:30 New York (13:30 UTC); 23 Dec 2026, 08:30 New York (13:30 UTC). The measured reaction appears on this page shortly after the release.
All releases compared · Gold after US jobs report (NFP) · Gold after US inflation (CPI) · Gold after Fed rate decision (FOMC)
Questions
How much does gold move after PCE?
Over 57 PCE releases since 24 Nov 2021: a median of $2.19 in the first minute, $2.39 in 5 minutes, $2.42 in 15 minutes and $4.42 after an hour, measured from the last price before the release.
Does gold go up or down after PCE?
Either: gold was higher an hour after 54% of releases and lower after the rest. The direction depends on how the number compares with expectations; the size of the move is more consistent than its direction.
What was the biggest gold move after PCE?
28 May 2026: a first-hour swing of $53.78 from $4,385.35.
When is the next PCE?
29 Oct 2026, 08:30 New York time (12:30 UTC).
Page data last updated: · Measured and edited by Adrian Troy · How we measure